氣候變化背景下的洪水風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理

Foreword3
Preface5
Foreword7
Preface11
Acknowledgements13
Definitions15
Acronyms and abbreviations21
Chapter 1Flood risk management1
1.1The global flood problem4
1.2Problem context8
1.3Flood risk15
1.4How do we manage flood risk?17
1.5Systems view of flood risk
management19
1.6Conclusions23
1.7Exercises24
Chapter 2Climate change and risk of
flooding25
2.1Floods and their physical
characteristics27
2.2Climate change and variation
impacts35
2.3Approaches for dealing with
climate change49
2.4Conclusions55
2.5Exercises57
Chapter 3Risk management as adaptation to
climate change59
3.1Flood risk management decision
process63
3.2Approaches to flood risk management
as adaptation to climate change74
3.3An example: Climate changecaused flood
risk to municipal infrastructure,City
of London (Ontario,Canada)82
3.4Conclusions124
3.5Exercises125
Chapter 4Risk management: probabilistic
approach127
4.1Mathematical definition of risk129
4.2Classification of risk135
4.3Risk criteria138
4.4Probabilistic risk modeling141
4.5Probabilistic tools for flood risk
management147
4.6Conclusions213
4.7Exercises214
Chapter 5Risk management: fuzzy set
approach217
5.1Paradigm change219
5.2Introduction to fuzzy sets222
5.3Fuzzy risk definition241
5.4Fuzzy tools for flood risk management
under climate change249
5.5Conclusions307
5.6Exercises308
Chapter 6Future perspectives311
6.1Understanding climate change and
flood risk management313
6.2Adaptive flood risk management
under climate change316
6.3Risk communication319
6.4Conclusions323
References325
譯著序言3
譯者的話5
序言7
前言11
致謝13
術(shù)語15
縮略詞21
第1章洪水風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理1
1.1全球洪水問題4
1.2洪水問題的內(nèi)涵8
1.3洪水風(fēng)險(xiǎn)15
1.4如何管理洪水風(fēng)險(xiǎn)17
1.5洪水風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理的系統(tǒng)觀點(diǎn)19
1.6結(jié)論23
1.7練習(xí)題24
第2章氣候變化與洪水風(fēng)險(xiǎn)25
2.1洪水及其物理特性27
2.2氣候變化和變異的影響35
2.3氣候變化的應(yīng)對(duì)措施49
2.4結(jié)論55
2.5練習(xí)題57
第3章適應(yīng)氣候變化的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理59
3.1洪水風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理決策過程63
3.2適應(yīng)氣候變化的洪水風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理
措施74
3.3案例： 氣候變化導(dǎo)致加拿大安大略省
London市市政基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施
洪水風(fēng)險(xiǎn)82
3.4結(jié)論124
3.5練習(xí)題125
第4章風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理： 概率法127
4.1風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的數(shù)學(xué)定義129
4.2風(fēng)險(xiǎn)類型135
4.3風(fēng)險(xiǎn)標(biāo)準(zhǔn)138
4.4概率風(fēng)險(xiǎn)模型的建立141
4.5洪水風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理的概率工具147
4.6結(jié)論213
4.7練習(xí)題214
第5章風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理： 模糊集方法217
5.1模式轉(zhuǎn)變219
5.2模糊集介紹222
5.3模糊風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的定義241
5.4氣候變化條件下洪水風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理中的
模糊工具249
5.5結(jié)論307
5.6練習(xí)題308
第6章未來前景311
6.1了解氣候變化與洪水風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理313
6.2氣候變化背景下適應(yīng)性洪水風(fēng)險(xiǎn)
管理316
6.3風(fēng)險(xiǎn)溝通319
6.4結(jié)束語323
參考文獻(xiàn)325